Published on Mar 26, 2019
NDA to return with 283 seats, predicts Times Now-VMR survey. The NDA is all set to return to power winning 283 seats in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, according to projections by Times Now-VMR opinion survey.
The opinion survey, carried out with around 17,000 respondents, gives 135 seats to the UPA while the others are expected to win 125 seats.
The survey predicts that NDA will improve its combined vote share from 38.5% in 2014 to 40.1% in 2019. Meanwhile, the UPA is expected to win 30.6% of the total votes, an improvement from 23% in 2014.
The Times Now-VMR survey predicts a huge win for the NDA in the Hindi heartland and in the northeast region. It also predicts BJP making significant inroads in West Bengal and Odisha.
• According to the survey, the BJP-led NDA is predicted to win majority in the Lok Sabha with 283 seats.
• It also predicts a marginal improvement in NDA's combined vote share, which is projected to be 40.1%.
• In UP, the SP-BSP combine are likely to win 36 seats and will succeed in reducing the NDA to 42 seats.
The ruling combine is projected to win 22 out of the 29 seats in Madhya Pradesh, 20 out of the 25 seats in Rajasthan and 6 out of 11 seats in Chhattisgarh. These projections are significant as the BJP had lost power in all three states in the assembly elections last year.
The Congress which has formed governments in these states is predicted to win only 7 seats in MP, 5 seats in Rajasthan and 5 seats in Chhattisgarh.
In Uttar Pradesh, the projections show significant gains for the BSP-SP combine. Akhilesh and Mayawati are likely to win 36 seats and will succeed in reducing the NDA to 42 seats.
The NDA, according to the survey, is projected to make significant gains in Odisha, Maharashtra and West Bengal. The survey predicts 11 seats for NDA in West Bengal, 39 in Maharashtra and 14 in Odisha. While the Trinamool is expected to win 31 seats in West Bengal, Naveen Patnaik-led Biju Janta Dal may have to contend with only 7 seats.
In Bihar, the NDA is projected to win big with 27 seats while the still-to-be-formed Grand Alliance may win only 13 seats.
The BJP is likely to win 15 seats in Karnataka, while the ruling combine of Congress-JD(s) is projected to win only 13 seats.
Andhra Pradesh and Telangana are likely to give boost to the non-Congress, non-BJP aligned regional parties. The predictions show 22 seats out of 25 for the Jagan Reddy-led YSR Congress in Andhra and 13 out of 17 seats for the K Chandrashekhar Rao-led TRS in Telangana. The ruling TDP in Andhra is likely to be restricted to 3 seats.
In Kerala, the Congress-led UDF is projected to improve its previous tally by winning 16 of the 20 seats, while the ruling LDF may end up with only 3 seats. The predictions show 1 seat for the BJP, which could be a significant inroad in the state.
In Tamil Nadu, the survey predicts DMK-led UPA alliance winning 34 out of 39 seats, while the ruling AIADMK may be reduced to 5 seats.
